Has it really been 12 months since the last big pat on Hollywood's back?
So, its that time again, predictions, guesses and vague attempts at humour...
Best Film:
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
The Artist has been picking up most of the awards this year but I wouldn't be totally surprised, if mildly disappointed if The Help turns out to be the surprise winner of all the "major" awards. I've not seen Extremely Hated & Incredibly Avoidable, Midnight in Paris or The Tree of Life but I would rather it went to the silent movie.
Best Actor:
Demián Bichir (A Better Life)
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
Gary Oldman should win it, Bichir might but Clooney probably will and give a sincere if cringeworthy speech about how great it is being him.
Best Actress:
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Viola Davis (The Help)
Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
Streep's name is already etched onto the statuette even if Rooney Mara managed to give an alternate and more nuanced performance in a Hollywood re-do of a good foreign flick.
Best Supporting Actor:
Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Nick Nolte (Warrior)
Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close)
Why is Jonah Hill here?! All he does in Moneyball is say exactly what Sorkin and Zaillian wrote down with as little goofing off as possible thats not acting its remembering. Nolte should win, Sydow probably will.
Best Supporting Actress:
Bérénice Bejo (The Artist)
Jessica Chastain (The Help)
Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
Octavia Spencer (The Help)
Firstly, there is no way Bejo is a supporting role but I'll be happy if she, Chastain or Spencer wins. Seeing as comedy isn't often deemed worthy of Oscars its atleast something to have an actress noticed for her great defecating work in Bridesmaids.
Best Director:
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
Marty's camera moves were the best thing in the ever so slightly over-rated Hugo. If it really is the year for silent cinema Michel Hazanavicius must get the prize for bringing back academy ratio to the academy.
Best Original Screenplay:
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Margin Call
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
The Artist may not have as much dialogue as any of the others, or far fewer fart gags but this could either go to the chat-lite flick or the banter heavy Margin Call.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
The Descendants
Hugo
The Ides of March
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Should, if there is any justice in the world, be a repeat of the BAFTA's and go to Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy.
Best Animated Film:
A Cat in Paris
Chico & Rita
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
Puss in Boots is as forgettable as the fast food items used as part of its mass promotion, Kung Fu Panda 2 was a decent enough flick but Rango or Chico & Rita should get it just to give Pixar and Dreamworks a wake up call that sequels and spin-offs just aren't good enough.
Best Cinematography:
The Artist: Guillaume Schiffman
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: Jeff Cronenweth
Hugo: Robert Richardson
The Tree of Life: Emmanuel Lubezki
War Horse: Janusz Kaminski
Should be a win for The Artist, could go to The Tree of Life.
Best Original Score:
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn: John Williams
The Artist: Ludovic Bource
Hugo: Howard Shore
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy: Alberto Iglesias
War Horse: John Williams
Tough category, Tintin was a breezier score but considering how important music was in The Artist surely it must go to Monsieur Bource.
Best Original Song:
The Muppets: Bret McKenzie "Man or Muppet"
Rio: Sergio Mendes, Carlinhos Brown, Siedah Garrett "Real in Rio"
A no-brainer, just a shame The Muppet's won't be performing it on the night.
Best Visual Effects:
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
Hugo
Real Steel
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
Rise should win, but Hugo had some equally impressive period visuals.
There you have it, sure there are major omissions from the lists, very little attention given to Drive - missing atleast 3 acting nods, Tinker, Tailor not getting a best film nomination when vastly inferior films (not my opinion - its a fact) get a chance to win.
As usual I won't be staying up till the wee small hours, as I could care less about the 2 hour pre-show of stars ever so slowly making their way into a building, using the Sky+ means I can skip past all the dull and ditch water banter between the UK based bunch of tired randoms discussing clothes, Billy Crystal's monologue and why dogs are great actors too. Also my so-called beauty sleep is vitally important.
In conclusion, The Artist should clean up but I have a feeling feel great comedy/drama The Help could nab a couple of the golden statuettes from the movie about a suicidal alcoholic film star and his best friend.
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